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Sokolowski, John A. / Banks, Catherine M. (Hrsg.)
Handbook of Real-World Applications in Modeling and Simulation
Wiley Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science

1. Auflage Mai 2012
129,- Euro
2012. 352 Seiten, Hardcover
- Handbuch/Nachschlagewerk -
ISBN 978-1-118-11777-4 - John Wiley & Sons

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Kurzbeschreibung
This handbook provides an introduction to various modeling and simulation methods and paradigms that explain and solve major challenges facing society. Supported by case studies, six leading applications are featured, including transportation, homeland security, operations research, medicine, military science, and business process modeling. Emphasizing a multidisciplinary approach, the text features chapters written by well-known experts in fields related to modeling and simulation. This unparalleled guide introduces, trains, and prepares readers from such disciplines as statistics, mathematics, engineering, computer science, economics, and business, to use modeling and simulation in their studies and research.

Aus dem Inhalt
Contributors xiii

Preface xvii

Introduction 1

1 Research and Analysis for Real-World Applications 8
Catherine M. Banks

1.1 Introduction and Learning Objectives 8

1.1.1 Learning Objectives 10

1.2 Background 10

1.3 M&S Theory and Toolbox 13

1.3.1 Simulation Paradigms 15

1.3.2 Types of Modeling 16

1.3.3 Modeling Applications 17

1.4 Research and Analysis Methodologies 18

Case Study: A Methodology for M&S Project Progression 20

Summary 23

Key Terms 24

Exercises 25

References 25

2 Human Behavior Modeling: A Real-World Application 26
John A. Sokolowski

2.1 Introduction and Learning Objectives 26

2.2 Background and Theory 27

2.2.1 Classical Decision Theory 27

2.2.2 Naturalistic Decision Making 31

2.2.3 Recognition-Primed Decision Model 33

2.2.4 Military Decision Making 37

2.2.5 Computational Techniques for Implementing the CJTF Decision Process 40

2.2.6 Summary of the State-of-the-Art 53

Case Studies 54

Summary 81

Key Terms 82

Exercises 83

References 83

Appendix: A Decision Scenario and Associated Data 88

3 Transportation 93
R. Michael Robinson

3.1 Introduction and Learning Objectives 93

3.2 Background 94

3.3 Theory 95

3.3.1 Simulation Levels 95

3.3.2 Traffic Analysis Zones 97

3.3.3 The Four-Step Model 98

3.3.4 Method of Successive Averages 102

3.3.5 Volume Delay Functions 105

3.3.6 Dynamic Traffic Assignment 108

3.4 Transportation Modeling Applications 113

3.4.1 Traffic Demand Models 113

3.4.2 Public Transportation Models 114

3.4.3 Freight Modeling 117

3.4.4 Evacuation Simulations 121

Summary 124

Key Terms 125

Exercises 126

References 126

Further Reading 127

4 Homeland Security Risk Modeling 129
Barry C. Ezell

4.1 Introduction and Learning Objectives 129

4.2 Background 131

4.2.1 Bioterrorism Risk Assessment 2006 132

4.2.2 Estimating Likelihood of Terrorist Events 133

4.2.3 Risk Assessed as a Function of Threat Vulnerability and Consequence 135

4.3 Theory and Applications in Risk Modeling 136

4.3.1 Philosophical Considerations 137

4.3.2 Ontology and Epistemology 138

4.3.3 Issues and Implications for the Risk Analyst 138

4.3.4 Philosophical Considerations Summary 141

4.3.5 System Principals and Applications for the Risk Analyst 142

4.3.6 Factors in Developing a Risk Assessment Study Plan 143

4.3.7 Scope and Bound in a Risk Study: Constraints Limitations and Assumptions 145

4.3.8 Well-Known Challenge in Homeland Security Studies 146

4.4 Elements of a Study Plan 147

4.5 Modeling Paradigms 148

4.5.1 Simple Verses Complex Methodologies 148

4.5.2 Quantitative and Qualitative Designs 148

4.5.3 Modeling Approaches and Examples 150

4.5.4 Verification and Validation for Risk Models 156

Case Studies 157

Summary 161

Key Terms 161

Exercises 161

References 162

Further Reading 164

5 Operations Research 165
Andrew J. Collins and Christine S.M. Currie

5.1 Introduction and Learning Objectives 165

5.2 Background 166

5.2.1 OR Techniques 168

5.3 Theory 169

5.3.1 Problem Structuring Methods 169

5.3.2 Queuing Theory 175

5.3.3 Decision Analysis 179

5.3.4 Game Theory 182

5.3.5 Optimization 186

5.4 Modeling Paradigms 192

Case Studies 193

Summary 199

Key Terms 201

Exercises 202

x Contents

References 204

Further Reading 206

6 Business Process Modeling 207
Rafael Diaz Joshua G. Behr and Mandar Tulpule

6.1 Introduction and Learning Objectives 207

6.2 Background 207

6.3 Discrete-Event Simulation 214

6.3.1 Introduction 214

6.3.2 Fundamentals 215

6.3.3 Queuing System Model Components 218

6.3.4 Time Advance Mechanism 219

6.3.5 Simulation Flowchart 220

6.4 Discrete-Event Simulation Case Study 221

6.4.1 Introduction 222

6.4.2 Background 222

6.4.3 Research Question 223

6.4.4 Overview of Optimization Model 224

6.4.5 The Simulation Model 225

6.4.6 Experimental Setting 225

6.4.7 Simulation Parameterization and Execution 226

6.4.8 Weigh Zones and Product Reassignment 226

6.4.9 Results 226

6.5 System Dynamics Simulation 227

6.5.1 Introduction 227

6.5.2 Fundamentals 228

6.5.3 The Stock and Flow Diagrams 229

6.5.4 Model Calibration 231

6.5.5 Model Testing 233

6.5.6 Population Modeling Exercise 233

6.5.7 Application of System Dynamics 235

6.5.8 Background 235

6.5.9 Research Question 238

6.5.10 Dynamic Hypothesis 238

6.5.11 Causal Loop Diagram 238

6.5.12 Stock and Flow Model 239

6.5.13 Simulation and Results 240

6.5.14 Conclusions 244

6.6 Monte Carlo Simulation 244

6.6.1 Introduction 244

6.6.2 Fundamentals 245

6.6.3 Probability Theory and Monte Carlo 247

6.6.4 Central Limit Theorem 247

6.6.5 Three-Sigma Rule 247

6.6.6 Monte Carlo Case Study 249

6.6.7 Research Question 250

6.6.8 Model Parameters 250

6.6.9 Simulation Procedure 250

6.6.10 Estimating Profit 251

6.6.11 Excel Implementation 253

6.6.12 Outcomes 253

6.6.13 Conclusions 254

Summary 255

Key Terms 255

Review Questions 256

References 257

7 A Review of Mesh Generation for Medical Simulators 261
Michel A. Audette Andrey N. Chernikov and Nikos P. Chrisochoides

7.1 Introduction and Learning Objectives 261

7.2 Background--A Survey of Relevant Biomechanics and Open-Source Software 263

7.2.1 Architecture of an Interactive Medical Simulator 263

7.2.2 Mechanics of Tissue Manipulation in Medical Simulation 264

7.2.3 Mechanics of Tissue Cutting and Resection in Medical Simulation 269

7.2.4 Open-Source Resources in Medical Simulation 269

7.3 Theory--The Impact of Element Quality and Size on Simulation 272

7.4 Modeling Paradigms--Methods for Mesh Generation 276

7.4.1 Structured Tetrahedral Mesh Generation 276

7.4.2 Unstructured Tetrahedral Mesh Generation 276

7.4.3 Octree-Based Unstructured Tetrahedral Mesh Generation 279

7.4.4 Delaunay Unstructured Tetrahedral Mesh Generation 280

7.4.5 Advancing Front Unstructured Tetrahedral Mesh Generation 284

7.4.6 Optimization-Based Unstructured Tetrahedral Mesh Generation 284

7.4.7 Unstructured Surface Mesh Generation 285

Case Studies 289

Summary 291

Key Terms 292

Acknowledgments 293

Exercises 293

References 294

8 Military Interoperability Challenges 298
Saikou Y. Diallo and Jos´e J. Padilla

8.1 Introduction and Learning Objectives 298

8.2 Background 299

8.2.1 Overview 300

8.2.2 State of the Art in Interoperability 300

8.2.3 Levels of Interoperability 302

8.2.4 Current Approaches to Interoperation 303

8.3 Theory 305

8.3.1 Data Models 306

8.3.2 A Relational Model of Data in M&S Systems 307

Case Study: Live Virtual Constructive Simulation Environments 311

8.4 Live Virtual Constructive 311

8.5 LVC Examples 315

8.6 Distributed Simulation Engineering and Execution Process (DSEEP) 316

8.7 LVC Architecture Framework (LVCAF) 320

8.8 Simulation Systems 322

Summary 323

Key Terms 324

Exercises 325

References 325

Index 329

 





 

        

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