Judgment and Decision Making
Psychological Perspectives
BPS Textbooks in Psychology
1. Edition January 2009
230 Pages, Softcover
Wiley & Sons Ltd
Judgment and Decision Making is a refreshingly accessible
text that explores the wide variety of ways people make judgments.
It examines assessments of probability, frequency, and causation;
as well as how decisions are rendered under conditions of risk and
uncertainty. Topics covered include dynamic, everyday, and group
decision making; individual differences; and the nature of mind and
brain in relation to judgment and decision making.
Offering up-to-date theoretical coverage, including perspectives
from evolutionary psychology and neuroscience, this volume has
everything a psychology student needs for BPS accreditation, whilst
drawing out the practical applications for non-psychology students
with plentiful examples from business, economics, sport, law, and
medicine. The latest addition to the BPS Textbooks in
Psychology series, this thorough text provides a succinct,
reader-friendly account of the field of judgment and decision
making.
1. Introduction and Overview: Judgments, Decisions, and
Rationality.
2. The Nature and Analysis of Judgment.
3. Judging Probability and Frequency.
4. Judgmental Distortions: The Anchoring-and-Adjustment
Heuristic and Hindsight Bias.
5. Assessing Evidence and Evaluating Arguments.
6. Covariation, Causation, and Counterfactual Thinking.
7. Decision Making under Risk and Uncertainty.
8. Preference and Choice.
9. Confidence and Optimism.
10. Judgment and Choice over Time.
11. Dynamic Decisions and High Stakes: Where Real Life Meets the
Laboratory.
12. Risk.
13. Decision Making in Groups and Teams.
14. Cooperation and Coordination.
15. Intuition, Reflective Thinking, and the Brain.
References.
Author Index.
Subject Index
"A readable, incisive and eloquent introduction to a
fascinating field: short, snappy, scholarly and up to date. Hardman
tells the reader what they need to know about judgment and decision
making, as well as why they need to know it."
-Professor Nick Chater, Cognitive and Decision Sciences,
University College London
"Very clearly written, an engagingly wide sampling of key
topics in JDM, and solidly based in the core classic and recent
literature. Perhaps the best JDM teaching text I have
seen."
-Terry Connolly, Eller Professor of Management and
Organizations, University of Arizona and Past President of the
Society for Judgment and Decision Making
"This book takes students seriously. It gives them
excellent coverage of judgment and decision making, revealing the
richness of the ideas that have been developed in this area over
the last couple of decades. The writing is crisp, the tone is
friendly, and the dual emphasis on theory and its relevance to
practical concerns is clear from the start."
-Nigel Harvey, Professor of Judgment and Decision
Research, University College London
"David Hardman's book on judgment and decision making is
the best textbook I have read in the field. The book presents a
complete, detailed and updated view of findings and research in
decision sciences. I was impressed by how succinctly the author
discusses complicated themes in the field. I was also impressed by
the broad coverage of topics, including classical ones as well as
emerging topics, such as dynamic decision making and naturalistic
approaches. This is simply the most complete textbook on judgment
and decision making in existence today. Definitely an excellent
choice to use in the classroom in introductory decision science
courses."
-Cleotilde Gonzalez, Associate Research Professor and
Director of Dynamic Decision Making Laboratory, Social and Decision
Sciences Department, Carnegie Mellon University